{"id":3788,"date":"2026-11-06T16:44:34","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T16:44:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinshares.citywire.com\/?p=3788"},"modified":"2026-11-06T16:44:37","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T16:44:37","slug":"emploi-americain-la-fed-reprend-lavantage-sur-le-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinshares.citywire.com\/fr\/emploi-americain-la-fed-reprend-lavantage-sur-le-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Emploi am\u00e9ricain : la Fed reprend l’avantage sur le bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Le rapport sur l’emploi am\u00e9ricain d’octobre a largement d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les attentes. L’\u00e9conomie a cr\u00e9\u00e9 165 000 postes non agricoles, contre un consensus d’environ 65 000, et le taux de ch\u00f4mage a recul\u00e9 \u00e0 4,1 %.1<\/sup> Les services aux entreprises, la sant\u00e9 et le transport ont port\u00e9 les embauches.1<\/sup> Face \u00e0 une inflation toujours \u00e9lev\u00e9e, un march\u00e9 du travail aussi solide n’a besoin d’aucun soutien et laisse la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale se consacrer \u00e0 la stabilit\u00e9 des prix.<\/p>\n\n

Une correction qui avait bri\u00e8vement adouci les anticipations<\/h2>\n\n

Ces chiffres ont renvers\u00e9 un sentiment apparu la veille seulement. Le 5 nov., une forte vague de ventes sur les valeurs li\u00e9es \u00e0 l’IA a fait chuter le Nasdaq de 5,5 %, le Nasdaq 100 de 6,4 % et les semi-conducteurs de 12 %.2<\/sup> Le bitcoin a perdu un peu plus de 5 % et les liquidations de positions crypto \u00e0 effet de levier ont d\u00e9pass\u00e9 1 Md$.2<\/sup> Les bons du Tr\u00e9sor ont jou\u00e9 leur r\u00f4le de valeur refuge, le p\u00e9trole a recul\u00e9 sur l’espoir d’avanc\u00e9es dans les discussions entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l’Iran, et le march\u00e9 a r\u00e9duit la probabilit\u00e9 d’une hausse des taux en d\u00e9cembre.3<\/sup> Le resserrement des conditions financi\u00e8res par les actions et une \u00e9nergie moins ch\u00e8re laissaient esp\u00e9rer une Fed plus conciliante. Les chiffres de l’emploi ont balay\u00e9 une bonne partie de ce raisonnement.<\/p>\n\n

Sur ces deux s\u00e9ances, le comportement du bitcoin confirme sa forte sensibilit\u00e9 aux variations des anticipations de taux \u00e0 court terme. Le repli en dit aussi long sur ses corr\u00e9lations actuelles. Plusieurs mineurs cot\u00e9s, repositionn\u00e9s comme op\u00e9rateurs d’IA et de centres de donn\u00e9es, ont enregistr\u00e9 des baisses \u00e0 deux chiffres2<\/sup>, signe que le mouvement relevait d’un d\u00e9sengagement plus large du risque technologique, qui a emport\u00e9 le bitcoin, plut\u00f4t que d’une d\u00e9gradation propre aux cryptoactifs.<\/p>\n\n

Les \u00e9lections modifient le rythme, pas la direction<\/h2>\n\n

La large victoire d\u00e9mocrate aux \u00e9lections de mi-mandat complique l’adoption du CLARITY Act et confie au parti davantage d’influence sur l’agenda des commissions, les nominations et les enqu\u00eates visant des projets crypto li\u00e9s \u00e0 Donald Trump. La voie l\u00e9gislative n’est toutefois plus la seule. Le GENIUS Act, consacr\u00e9 aux stablecoins, est d\u00e9j\u00e0 en vigueur, et la SEC comme la CFTC continuent d’ouvrir des voies r\u00e9glementaires dans le cadre de leurs comp\u00e9tences actuelles. Le CLARITY Act reste porteur d’une s\u00e9curit\u00e9 juridique durable, surtout pour Ethereum, la DeFi et les \u00e9metteurs de jetons. Son absence ralentit les progr\u00e8s sans les bloquer.<\/p>\n\n

Le texte b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiait d’un soutien bipartisan avant le scrutin. Les stablecoins g\u00e9n\u00e8rent par ailleurs une demande suppl\u00e9mentaire de bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain dans un contexte de tensions budg\u00e9taires, un argument qui porte dans les deux camps. L’ex\u00e9cutif conserve de larges pouvoirs, et un pr\u00e9sident disposant de moins de latitude au Congr\u00e8s peut se tourner davantage vers la politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re et les d\u00e9crets, ce qui tend \u00e0 accro\u00eetre la volatilit\u00e9 plut\u00f4t qu’\u00e0 la r\u00e9duire.<\/p>\n\n

Des expositions in\u00e9gales<\/h2>\n\n

Les effets varient selon les segments. Le statut r\u00e9glementaire du bitcoin est \u00e9tabli, ce qui le prot\u00e8ge relativement. Les plateformes d’\u00e9change am\u00e9ricaines, les \u00e9metteurs de jetons et les entreprises en attente de nouvelles autorisations sont plus expos\u00e9s, m\u00eame si les acteurs \u00e9tablis et conformes peuvent gagner du terrain si l’examen politique vise surtout leurs concurrents plus fragiles. Les mineurs occupent une position d\u00e9licate : leurs capacit\u00e9s \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques et leurs centres de donn\u00e9es attirent les hyperscalers, mais lient leur sort \u00e0 celui de l’IA.<\/p>\n\n

Ce que cela implique pour les conseillers<\/h2>\n\n

L’incertitude politique a recul\u00e9 et les prix de l’\u00e9nergie \u00e9voluent dans le bon sens. En revanche, la semaine a montr\u00e9 \u00e0 quel point les cryptoactifs \u00e9voluent d\u00e9sormais au rythme des valeurs technologiques et des centres de donn\u00e9es, et les chiffres de l’emploi ont raviv\u00e9 la pression restrictive. Pour les allocations en ETP bitcoin, les rendements r\u00e9els, la liquidit\u00e9 en dollars et les flux restent les variables \u00e0 suivre, avant la composition du Congr\u00e8s. C’est la Fed, et non le Capitole, qui d\u00e9tient les meilleures cartes.<\/p>\n\n

\n\n

Sources<\/strong><\/p>\n\n

1<\/sup> Bureau of Labor Statistics (\u00c9tats-Unis), rapport sur l’emploi d’octobre 2026, publi\u00e9 le 6 nov. 2026<\/p>\n\n

2<\/sup> CoinDesk, repli des valeurs technologiques et des cryptoactifs li\u00e9 \u00e0 l’IA, 5-6 nov. 2026<\/p>\n\n

3<\/sup> R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale \/ CME FedWatch, anticipations de taux pour d\u00e9cembre, 5-6 nov. 2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Apr\u00e8s un repli technologique li\u00e9 \u00e0 l’IA qui a entra\u00een\u00e9 le bitcoin, 165 000 cr\u00e9ations d’emplois relancent la pression sur les taux. Le scrutin p\u00e8se moins.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1689,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","iawp_total_views":14,"footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market"],"yoast_head":"\nEmploi am\u00e9ricain : la Fed reprend l'avantage sur le bitcoin - Citywire | CoinShares<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinshares.citywire.com\/fr\/emploi-americain-la-fed-reprend-lavantage-sur-le-bitcoin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Emploi am\u00e9ricain : la Fed reprend l'avantage sur le bitcoin - Citywire | CoinShares\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Apr\u00e8s un repli technologique li\u00e9 \u00e0 l'IA qui a entra\u00een\u00e9 le bitcoin, 165 000 cr\u00e9ations d'emplois relancent la pression sur les taux. 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